Sport Picks

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Iraq U23 vs Macau U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lawend H.
15' Event
Aoraha A.
27' Event
Jasim A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 13-0, with Iraq U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Iraq U23
20%
Draws
0%
Macau U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iraq U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iraq U23 come out ahead of Macau U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Iraq U23 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Iraq U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Macau U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U23 Macau U23
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 15 2
Draws 5 0
Losses 12 32
Goals Scored 1.72 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.25 4.47
Expected Goals (xG) 3.04 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iraq U23 vs Macau U23
13:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ridha F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Aoraha A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.34
Avg xA / game 1.52

Macau U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U23 95 / 100
Macau U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U23 Macau U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macau U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 13.00 goals as a typical output.

Macau U23's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Iraq U23 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U23 VS Macau U23
1.75 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.33
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U23

(Home)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
Thailand U23
1 : 1
Iraq U23
08 Jan
Iraq U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 7

Macau U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Laos U23
3 : 1
Macau U23
06 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 5
Indonesia U23
03 Sept
South Korea U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
12 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
09 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 3
Kuwait U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Oman U23 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Syria U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:23 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
3 Myanmar U23 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
4 Qatar U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Singapore U23 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Guam U23 3 0 1 2 2:12 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Iran U23 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Afghanistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 21:2 7
2 Kuwait U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 0:21 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 China U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 India U23 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
4 Maldives U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 1:9 3
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
2 Tajikistan U23 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Laos U23 2 0 0 2 2:9 0
4 North Korea U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U23 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 5:9 4
3 Lebanon U23 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U23 2 2 0 0 11:0 6
2 Turkmenistan U23 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Chinese Taipei U23 2 0 0 2 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams