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Iraty vs Arapongas

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Firmino
40' Event
Fernando Brito
71' Event
Nascimento da Silva V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Arapongas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Iraty
30%
Draws
39%
Arapongas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arapongas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Arapongas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Arapongas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Arapongas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Iraty Clean Sheet 10%
Arapongas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraty Arapongas
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Paranaense 3
Arapongas vs Iraty
0:2
Oct 20, 2024 Paranaense 3
Iraty vs Arapongas
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraty Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Arapongas Compare

Top Goalscorer Firmino
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernando Brito
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraty 34 / 100
Arapongas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraty Arapongas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arapongas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraty scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Arapongas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Iraty stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iraty VS Arapongas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraty

(Home)
13 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 0
Iraty
06 Sept
Iraty
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
30 Aug
Iraty
1 : 4
Hope Internacional
23 Aug
Iraty
2 : 0
AA Iguacu
15 Aug
Samas
3 : 2
Iraty
Page 1 of 6

Arapongas

(Away)
09 Nov
Arapongas
1 : 2
Batel
02 Nov
Batel
2 : 2
Arapongas
26 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 2
Iraty
20 Oct
Iraty
0 : 3
Arapongas
13 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Batel 6
Rolandia EC 0
Iraty 2
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 3
Vere FC 1
Oeste Brasil 0
Toledo 3
Semi-finals
Batel 4
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 1
Toledo 8
Final
Batel 2
Toledo 1