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Ireland U16 W vs Wales U16 W

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Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ireland U16 W play Wales U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. Ireland U16 W are favorites here. Recently, Ireland U16 W averaged 2.21 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Wales U16 W averaged 0.94 goals scored and 3.63 conceded. In past meetings, Ireland U16 W won 2, Wales U16 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 19, 2024 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for Ireland U16 W and 1.38 for Wales U16 W. This points to a Ireland U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Ireland U16 W
15%
Draws
11%
Wales U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ireland U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ireland U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Wales U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.81 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Ireland U16 W Clean Sheet 17%
Wales U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland U16 W Wales U16 W
Matches Played 14 16
Wins 9 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.21 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.57 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2024 Friendly International Women
Ireland U16 W vs Wales U16 W
5:2
Sep 17, 2024 Friendly International Women
Ireland U16 W vs Wales U16 W
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland U16 W 70 / 100
Wales U16 W 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland U16 W Wales U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ireland U16 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ireland U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ireland U16 W attacking → ← attacking Wales U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland U16 W scored in 79% of their last 14 games.

Wales U16 W let in goals in 94% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Ireland U16 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Wales U16 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 6
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88