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Ireland U21 vs Finland U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21
Mon, Nov 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Euro U21. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ireland U21 have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Finland U21's 2.32 scored and 1.06 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 2.00) point toward Finland U21. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ireland U21
30%
Draws
38%
Finland U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Finland U21 come out ahead of Ireland U21 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Finland U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland U21 Finland U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 17
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.77 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland U21 30 / 100
Finland U21 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland U21 Finland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ireland U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ireland U21's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Finland U21 let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ireland U21 VS Finland U21
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Ireland U21
3 : 1
England U21
29 Sept
Ireland U21
4 : 3
Kazakhstan U21
25 Sept
Slovakia U21
0 : 2
Ireland U21
09 Jun
Ireland U21
0 : 0
Qatar U23
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
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Finland U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Kosovo U21
4 : 4
Finland U21
30 Sept
Romania U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
25 Sept
Finland U21
2 : 1
Spain U21
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Denmark U21 -
Netherlands U21 -
Iceland U21 -
Greece U21 -
Finland U21 -
Ireland U21 -
Turkey U21 -
Czech Republic U21 -