Sport Picks

Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Aviva Stadium

Greece

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ireland play Greece in the UEFA Nations League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ireland averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Greece averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Ireland won 0, Greece won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 13, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Ireland and 1.06 for Greece. This points to a Greece double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Ireland

15%

Draws

50%

Greece

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Greece

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Ireland picked up more points recently compared to Greece.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Ireland Clean Sheet 22%

Greece Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ireland	Greece
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	15
Draws	7	4
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1.13	1.77
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Greece vs Ireland

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Sep 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Ireland vs Greece

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Oct 13, 2023 Euro

Ireland vs Greece

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Jun 16, 2023 Euro

Greece vs Ireland

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Nov 14, 2012 Friendly International

Ireland vs Greece

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Greece Compare

Top Goalscorer Ioannidis F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tzolis C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland 36 / 100

Greece 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ireland Greece

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Greece or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ireland attacking → ← attacking Greece

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Greece let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ireland went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Greece lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 49

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Czech Republic	6	3	2	1	9:8	11
2	Ukraine	6	2	2	2	8:8	8
3	Georgia	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Albania	6	2	1	3	4:6	7

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	England	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Greece	6	5	1	11:4	15
3	Ireland	6	2	4	3:12	6
4	Finland	6	0	6	2:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	6	4	1	1	15:7	13
2	Austria	6	3	2	1	14:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	2	2	2	7:9	8
4	Kazakhstan	6	0	1	5	0:15	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wales	6	3	3	0	9:4	12
2	Turkey	6	3	2	1	9:6	11
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	10:13	7
4	Montenegro	6	1	0	5	4:9	3