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Ireland vs Hungary

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Friendly International 2024 Aviva Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ireland play Hungary in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ireland averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Hungary averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Ireland won 2, Hungary won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 16, 2025 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Ireland and 1.38 for Hungary. This points to a Ireland double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ireland
35%
Draws
32%
Hungary
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ireland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Ireland picked up more points recently compared to Hungary.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Ireland Clean Sheet 17%
Hungary Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland Hungary
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 World Championship
Hungary vs Ireland
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 World Championship
Ireland vs Hungary
2:2
Jun 4, 2024 Friendly International
Ireland vs Hungary
2:1
Jun 8, 2021 Friendly International
Hungary vs Ireland
0:0
Jun 4, 2012 Friendly International
Hungary vs Ireland
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Idah A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parrott T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hungary Compare

Top Goalscorer Lang A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland 33 / 100
Hungary 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland Hungary

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ireland or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ireland attacking → ← attacking Hungary

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Hungary let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ireland went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hungary lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 44
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25