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Ireland vs Senegal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025 Aviva Stadium, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
McAteer K.
58'
Sub
Taylor J. In: Ferguson E.
Out: Taylor J.
63'
Sub
Diatta K. In: Camara L.
Out: Diatta K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ireland
35%
Draws
41%
Senegal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Senegal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Senegal have won more games recently than Ireland.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ireland Clean Sheet 16%
Senegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland Senegal
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Ireland vs Senegal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer McAteer K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland 31 / 100
Senegal 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland Senegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ireland stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Senegal let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ireland VS Senegal
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland

(Home)
04 Oct
Ireland
1 : 1
Israel
01 Oct
Ireland
2 : 2
Austria
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3
Ireland
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0
Ireland
05 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Ireland
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Senegal

(Away)
04 Oct
Comoros
0 : 1
Senegal
29 Sept
Ethiopia
0 : 1
Senegal
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1
Senegal
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
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