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Ireland W vs Belgium W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Aviva Stadium, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Kees S.
41'
Dhont E.
45' Event
McCabe K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ireland W
20%
Draws
44%
Belgium W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belgium W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Ireland W have won more games recently than Belgium W.
  • Belgium W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ireland W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ireland W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Belgium W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ireland W Clean Sheet 10%
Belgium W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland W Belgium W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Belgium W vs Ireland W
2:1
Oct 24, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Ireland W vs Belgium W
4:2
Apr 11, 2021 Friendly International Women
Belgium W vs Ireland W
1:0
Jan 20, 2019 Friendly International Women
Belgium W vs Ireland W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland W Compare

Top Goalscorer McCabe K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sheva M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Belgium W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wullaert T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Detruyer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland W 10 / 100
Belgium W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland W Belgium W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Belgium W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ireland W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ireland W VS Belgium W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland W

(Home)
09 Jun
France W
1 : 0
Ireland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
Page 1 of 7

Belgium W

(Away)
09 Jun
Luxembourg W
0 : 7
Belgium W
05 Jun
Belgium W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
18 Apr
Belgium W
0 : 0
Scotland W
14 Apr
Scotland W
1 : 1
Belgium W
07 Mar
Belgium W
5 : 0
Israel W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Northern Ireland W 0
Iceland W 5
Finland W 1
Denmark W 8
Ireland W 5
Belgium W 4
Czech Republic W 1
Austria W 2