Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ireland W vs Greece W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Barrett A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Moraitou A. In: Kakambouki E.
Out: Moraitou A.
46'
Sub
Spyridonidou A. In: Kongouli S.
Out: Spyridonidou A.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Ireland W and Greece W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ireland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ireland W
15%
Draws
50%
Greece W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Greece W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Ireland W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Greece W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ireland W Clean Sheet 10%
Greece W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland W Greece W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Ireland W vs Greece W
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Greece W vs Ireland W
0:4
Mar 5, 2020 Euro Women
Ireland W vs Greece W
1:0
Nov 12, 2019 Euro Women
Greece W vs Ireland W
1:1
Mar 20, 2004 Algarve Cup Women
Greece W vs Ireland W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Patten A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Greece W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarri V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland W 22 / 100
Greece W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland W Greece W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greece W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Greece W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ireland W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ireland W VS Greece W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland W

(Home)
09 Jun
France W
1 : 0
Ireland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
Page 1 of 6

Greece W

(Away)
09 Jun
Georgia W
2 : 3
Greece W
18 Apr
Greece W
1 : 1
Moldova W
14 Apr
Faroe Islands W
2 : 3
Greece W
07 Mar
Greece W
2 : 0
Faroe Islands W
03 Mar
Greece W
3 : 0
Georgia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland W 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Northern Ireland W 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Romania W 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Ireland W 6 5 0 1 10:6 15
3 Turkey W 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
4 Greece W 6 0 0 6 2:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia W 6 4 2 0 7:1 14
2 Finland W 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
3 Hungary W 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
4 Belarus W 6 0 3 3 0:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine W 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Czech Republic W 6 4 1 1 17:4 13
3 Albania W 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
4 Croatia W 6 1 0 5 4:17 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)