Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ireland W vs Poland W

World World

World Cup Women Aviva Stadium, Dublin
Ireland W Logo

Ireland W

1 - 0
FT
Poland W Logo

Poland W

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
O'Sullivan D.
41' Event
Sheva M.
46'
Sub
Achcinska A. In: Grzybowska G.
Out: Achcinska A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ireland W
15%
Draws
0%
Poland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ireland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ireland W have managed 1.6 goals a game lately — Poland W are scoring more at 1.72.
  • Model gives Ireland W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ireland W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ireland W Clean Sheet 68%
Poland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland W Poland W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women
Ireland W vs Poland W
1:0
Apr 14, 2026 World Cup Women
Poland W vs Ireland W
2:3
Feb 16, 2022 Friendly International Women
Ireland W vs Poland W
2:1
Oct 9, 2018 Friendly International Women
Poland W vs Ireland W
4:0
Mar 12, 2008 Algarve Cup Women
Ireland W vs Poland W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sheva M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Poland W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland W 95 / 100
Poland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland W Poland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ireland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Poland W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ireland W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Poland W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ireland W VS Poland W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland W

(Home)
09 Jun
France W
1 : 0
Ireland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
Page 1 of 6

Poland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2
France W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1
Poland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)