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Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Afula

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Machluf Y.
39' Event
Machluf Y.
64' Event
Mizrahi Y.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Ironi Modiin and Hapoel Afula finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ironi Modiin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ironi Modiin
30%
Draws
54%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ironi Modiin haven't matched Hapoel Afula's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hapoel Afula a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ironi Modiin Clean Sheet 10%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Modiin Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modiin
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modiin
0:0
Nov 10, 2025 Leumit League
Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Afula
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Modiin Compare

Top Goalscorer Machluf Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Melman H. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizrahi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Modiin 22 / 100
Hapoel Afula 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Modiin Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Afula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Afula has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ironi Modiin found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Ironi Modiin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Modiin VS Hapoel Afula
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Modiin

(Home)
24 Sept
Ironi Modiin
1 : 3
SC Ashdod
17 Sept
Kiryat Yam
3 : 2
Ironi Modiin
10 Sept
Ironi Modiin
2 : 4
Yehuda
07 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 0
Ironi Modiin
30 Aug
Ironi Modiin
1 : 1
Kiryat Gat
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Afula

(Away)
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
31 Aug
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
H. Raanana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 17 9 4 67:32 60
2 M. Herzliya 30 14 8 8 45:35 50
3 Hapoel Ramat Gan 30 14 7 9 48:36 49
4 H. Ironi Rishon 30 13 9 8 43:33 48
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 13 8 9 51:47 47
6 Yehuda 30 12 8 10 34:37 44
7 Kiryat Yam 30 13 7 10 43:37 42
8 Hapoel Kfar Saba 30 11 8 11 38:39 41
9 H. Raanana 30 10 8 12 29:36 38
10 Maccabi Jaffa 30 10 7 13 50:50 37
11 Hapoel Afula 30 9 9 12 32:48 36
12 MS Kafr Qasim 30 8 10 12 34:39 34
13 Nof Hagalil 30 6 14 10 37:45 32
14 Ironi Modiin 30 8 8 14 30:41 32
15 Hapoel Akko 30 6 13 11 32:42 31
16 Hapoel Hadera 30 4 11 15 32:48 23
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)