Sport Picks

Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026

Ironi Modiin

3 - 1

Hapoel Afula

Our Tip

Match Events

Machluf Y.

39'

Machluf Y.

64'

Mizrahi Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Ironi Modiin and Hapoel Afula finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ironi Modiin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Ironi Modiin

33%

Draws

27%

Hapoel Afula

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ironi Modiin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Ironi Modiin haven't matched Hapoel Afula's recent run of results.
Model gives Ironi Modiin a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Ironi Modiin Clean Sheet 20%

Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ironi Modiin	Hapoel Afula
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	11
Draws	9	9
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	0.88	1
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Leumit League

Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modiin

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Apr 6, 2026 Leumit League

Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modiin

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Nov 10, 2025 Leumit League

Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Afula

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Modiin Compare

Top Goalscorer Machluf Y.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Melman H. S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizrahi Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Modiin 40 / 100

Hapoel Afula 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ironi Modiin Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Afula has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Ironi Modiin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ironi Modiin scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Modiin VS Hapoel Afula

0.88 Goals Scored 1

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

38% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Petah Tikva	30	17	9	4	67:32	60
2	M. Herzliya	30	14	8	8	45:35	50
3	Hapoel Ramat Gan	30	14	7	9	48:36	49
4	H. Ironi Rishon	30	13	9	8	43:33	48
5	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	30	13	8	9	51:47	47
6	Yehuda	30	12	8	10	34:37	44
7	Kiryat Yam	30	13	7	10	43:37	42
8	Hapoel Kfar Saba	30	11	8	11	38:39	41
9	H. Raanana	30	10	8	12	29:36	38
10	Maccabi Jaffa	30	10	7	13	50:50	37
11	Hapoel Afula	30	9	9	12	32:48	36
12	MS Kafr Qasim	30	8	10	12	34:39	34
13	Nof Hagalil	30	6	14	10	37:45	32
14	Ironi Modiin	30	8	8	14	30:41	32
15	Hapoel Akko	30	6	13	11	32:42	31
16	Hapoel Hadera	30	4	11	15	32:48	23