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Ironi Nesher vs FC Tzeirey Tamra

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
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AI Match Summary

Ironi Nesher play FC Tzeirey Tamra in the Liga Alef North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ironi Nesher averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. FC Tzeirey Tamra averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, Ironi Nesher won 0, FC Tzeirey Tamra won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.32 for Ironi Nesher and 0.44 for FC Tzeirey Tamra. This points to a Ironi Nesher double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Ironi Nesher
17%
Draws
39%
FC Tzeirey Tamra
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ironi Nesher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ironi Nesher picked up more points recently compared to FC Tzeirey Tamra.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.32 vs 0.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Ironi Nesher Clean Sheet 31%
FC Tzeirey Tamra Clean Sheet 25%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Nesher FC Tzeirey Tamra
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 7 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga Alef North
FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Nesher
0:0
Jan 2, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs FC Tzeirey Tamra
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Nesher Compare

Top Goalscorer Biton I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

FC Tzeirey Tamra Compare

Top Goalscorer Shakir S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rabia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Nesher 46 / 100
FC Tzeirey Tamra 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Nesher FC Tzeirey Tamra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ironi Nesher or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ironi Nesher attacking → ← attacking FC Tzeirey Tamra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ironi Nesher scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

FC Tzeirey Tamra let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ironi Nesher went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Tzeirey Tamra lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 18
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00