Sport Picks
Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Liga Alef North 
Match Events
21'
21'
Masarwa S.
28'
28'
Sha'ata U.
58'
58'
Dahan L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Alef North game between Ironi Nesher and Tzeirey Um El Fahem finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ironi Nesher.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ironi Nesher
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tzeirey Um El Fahem haven't matched Ironi Nesher's recent run of results.
- Ironi Nesher are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ironi Nesher Clean Sheet 20%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ironi Nesher | Tzeirey Um El Fahem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 18 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 23, 2027 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Nesher
0:0
Sep 18, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
5:1
Mar 20, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Nesher
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1:1
Mar 4, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ironi Nesher Compare
Top Goalscorer Dahan L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Masarwa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Compare
Top Goalscorer Younes O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ironi Nesher 85 / 100
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ironi Nesher Tzeirey Um El Fahem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ironi Nesher Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ironi Nesher's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.
Tzeirey Um El Fahem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 18 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Ironi Nesher stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ironi Nesher VS Tzeirey Um El Fahem
2.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ironi Nesher
(Home) 08 Oct
MS Tira
2 : 1 Ironi Nesher
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1 Beitar Nahariya
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1 Ironi Nesher
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2 Ironi Nesher
Page 1 of 4
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1 Beitar Nahariya
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
04 Sept
Ironi Nesher
6 : 1 FC Tzeirey Tamra
27 Feb
Ironi Nesher
0 : 0 Ironi Baka
13 Feb
Ironi Nesher
3 : 1 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
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Tzeirey Um El Fahem
(Away) 01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
10 Sept
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 1 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
06 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 0 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Page 1 of 4
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
06 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 0 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
20 Feb
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
1 : 2 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
06 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
24 Jan
MS Tira
2 : 1 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Tira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Beitar Nahariya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hapoel Karmiel | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Ironi Nesher | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Nof Hagalil | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 10 | Ironi Baka | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 13 | H. Ihud Bnei Jatt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Beit Shean | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:14 | 2 |
| 18 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)
