Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Haifa

Israel Israel

Toto Cup 2025 Green Stadium, Nof HaGalil
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Sardal L. In: Makonen H.
Out: Sardal L.
45'
Unger R.
46'
Sub
Unger R. In: Habiballah W.
Out: Unger R.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Haifa in this Toto Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ironi Tiberias
35%
Draws
30%
Hapoel Haifa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ironi Tiberias have won more games recently than Hapoel Haifa.
  • Model gives Hapoel Haifa a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Ironi Tiberias have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Haifa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ironi Tiberias Clean Sheet 10%
Hapoel Haifa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Tiberias Hapoel Haifa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Toto Cup
Hapoel Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias
3:1
Apr 29, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Haifa
1:0
Aug 6, 2025 Toto Cup
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Haifa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Tiberias Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Hapoel Haifa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nawi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Tiberias 10 / 100
Hapoel Haifa 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Tiberias Hapoel Haifa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Haifa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ironi Tiberias scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Hapoel Haifa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ironi Tiberias has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Tiberias VS Hapoel Haifa
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Tiberias

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Haifa

(Away)
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
14 Sept
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 1
Sakhnin
07 Sept
Netanya
1 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
02 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hapoel Haifa 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 Maccabi Bnei Raina 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
3 Shmona 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
4 Ironi Tiberias 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
5 Sakhnin 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hapoel Tel Aviv 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Hapoel Jerusalem 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
3 Netanya 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
4 Hapoel Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
5 SC Ashdod 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)