Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Green Stadium, Nof HaGalil
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Coco M.
55'
Baco O.
59'
Sub
Baranes I. In: Balilti E.
Out: Baranes I.

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Tel Aviv finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ironi Tiberias
30%
Draws
34%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ironi Tiberias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hapoel Tel Aviv come out ahead of Ironi Tiberias on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ironi Tiberias taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hapoel Tel Aviv here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ironi Tiberias Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Tiberias Hapoel Tel Aviv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias
2:0
Dec 28, 2024 State Cup
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Tiberias Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemkin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alkoukin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Tiberias 36 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Tiberias Hapoel Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ironi Tiberias scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ironi Tiberias remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Hapoel Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Tiberias VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.43 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Tiberias

(Home)
11 Jul
Luzino
1 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
03 Jul
Ironi Tiberias
3 : 3
Netanya
18 May
Hapoel Jerusalem
0 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
13 May
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0
Maccabi Bnei Raina
10 May
Ironi Tiberias
4 : 3
Netanya
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Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Away)
18 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Jul
Banska Bystrica
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
11 Jul
Dun. Streda
0 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
08 Jul
Zlin
1 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
03 Jul
Yehuda
3 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1H. Beer Sheva26185358:2559
2Beitar Jerusalem26176361:2957
3Hapoel Tel Aviv26156546:2349
4Maccabi Tel Aviv26147552:3249
5Maccabi Haifa26119650:2842
6Hapoel Petah Tikva26910741:3637
7Netanya261051145:5535
8Sakhnin26881027:3532
9Shmona26761337:4627
10Hapoel Haifa26671331:4425
11SC Ashdod26591232:5024
12Hapoel Jerusalem26491322:3721
13Ironi Tiberias26761332:5219
14Maccabi Bnei Raina26332017:5912
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)