Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ironi Tiberias vs Sakhnin

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Green Stadium, Nof HaGalil
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Abu Abaid I.
46'
Sub
Gbamble N. In: Haliva R.
Out: Gbamble N.
46'
Sub
Baco O. In: Shviro I.
Out: Baco O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ironi Tiberias
20%
Draws
29%
Sakhnin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ironi Tiberias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ironi Tiberias lately — more wins on the board than Sakhnin.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ironi Tiberias have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ironi Tiberias, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ironi Tiberias Clean Sheet 20%
Sakhnin Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Tiberias Sakhnin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.43 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Toto Cup
Ironi Tiberias vs Sakhnin
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias
0:0
Jan 24, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Sakhnin
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias
2:0
Jul 27, 2025 Toto Cup
Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Tiberias Compare

Top Goalscorer Unger R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badjie M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sakhnin Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Abaid I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Tiberias 32 / 100
Sakhnin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Tiberias Sakhnin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ironi Tiberias found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Sakhnin let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ironi Tiberias remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Tiberias VS Sakhnin
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Tiberias

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6

Sakhnin

(Away)
19 Sept
Sakhnin
1 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
14 Sept
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 1
Sakhnin
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24 Aug
Netanya
0 : 0
Sakhnin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shmona 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Hapoel Haifa 4 3 0 1 9:7 9
3 Maccabi Haifa 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Ironi Tiberias 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
5 Sakhnin 4 0 0 4 2:6 0
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netanya 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Hapoel Ramat Gan 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Hapoel Jerusalem 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
4 Maccabi Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Hapoel Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)