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Irtysh Omsk vs Dynamo Stavropol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver Red Star Stadium, Omsk
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Razborov A.
(Penalty)
31'
Sub
Antonov A. In: Kovalchuk K.
Out: Antonov A.
35'
Zhustjev M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Irtysh Omsk
15%
Draws
64%
Dynamo Stavropol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Stavropol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dynamo Stavropol lately — more wins on the board than Irtysh Omsk.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Dynamo Stavropol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dynamo Stavropol, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Dynamo Stavropol have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Irtysh Omsk Clean Sheet 14%
Dynamo Stavropol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irtysh Omsk Dynamo Stavropol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Irtysh Omsk vs Dynamo Stavropol
2:3
Oct 21, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Dynamo Stavropol vs Irtysh Omsk
2:1
Sep 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Irtysh Omsk vs Dynamo Stavropol
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Dynamo Stavropol vs Irtysh Omsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Irtysh Omsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Yanushkovskiy R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dynamo Stavropol Compare

Top Goalscorer Garaev R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alimov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irtysh Omsk 35 / 100
Dynamo Stavropol 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irtysh Omsk Dynamo Stavropol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Stavropol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Stavropol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Irtysh Omsk found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Irtysh Omsk has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Irtysh Omsk VS Dynamo Stavropol
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Irtysh Omsk

(Home)
25 Oct
Irtysh Omsk
2 : 3
Dynamo Stavropol
21 Oct
Dynamo Stavropol
2 : 1
Irtysh Omsk
17 Oct
Amkar
4 : 1
Irtysh Omsk
10 Oct
Irtysh Omsk
1 : 2
Tyumen
27 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
4 : 0
Dynamo Moscow 2
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Dynamo Stavropol

(Away)
25 Oct
Irtysh Omsk
2 : 3
Dynamo Stavropol
21 Oct
Dynamo Stavropol
2 : 1
Irtysh Omsk
17 Oct
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg 2
14 Oct
Dynamo Moscow 2
2 : 3
Dynamo Stavropol
10 Oct
Torpedo Miass
1 : 0
Dynamo Stavropol
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dynamo Stavropol 5
Irtysh Omsk 3