Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Red Star Stadium

Mashuk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Irtysh Omsk play Mashuk in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Irtysh Omsk averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Mashuk averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Irtysh Omsk won 2, Mashuk won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 27, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Irtysh Omsk and 1.75 for Mashuk. This points to a Mashuk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Irtysh Omsk

35%

Draws

39%

Mashuk

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mashuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Irtysh Omsk picked up more points recently compared to Mashuk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Irtysh Omsk Clean Sheet 12%

Mashuk Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Irtysh Omsk	Mashuk
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	9
Draws	12	14
Losses	14	7
Goals Scored	0.83	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold

Irtysh Omsk vs Mashuk

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Apr 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold

Mashuk vs Irtysh Omsk

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Oct 5, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver

Irtysh Omsk vs Mashuk

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Aug 10, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver

Mashuk vs Irtysh Omsk

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

May 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver

Mashuk vs Irtysh Omsk

Possession: 42% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Irtysh Omsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Mashuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Selemenev I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fattakhov L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irtysh Omsk 26 / 100

Mashuk 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Irtysh Omsk Mashuk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mashuk or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Irtysh Omsk attacking → ← attacking Mashuk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irtysh Omsk scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Mashuk let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Irtysh Omsk went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Mashuk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 41

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Leningradets	18	10	4	4	23:23	34
2	Tekstilshtik	18	10	2	6	29:18	32
3	Sibir Novosibirsk	18	9	5	4	28:20	32
4	Veles Moscow	18	8	4	6	20:12	28
5	Mashuk	18	5	11	2	20:13	26
6	FC Volgar-Astrakhan	18	6	6	6	21:19	24
7	Kaluga	18	5	5	8	17:20	20
8	Rodina Moscow 2	18	4	7	7	20:23	19
9	Torpedo Miass	18	3	7	8	13:23	16
10	Irtysh Omsk	18	1	7	10	11:31	10