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Irtysh Omsk vs Mashuk Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Red Star Stadium, Omsk
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Kazantsev D.
8' Event
Torosyan S.
Penalty Missed
25'
Domotsev A.

AI Match Summary

Mashuk in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mashuk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Irtysh Omsk
20%
Draws
50%
Mashuk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mashuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mashuk lately — more wins on the board than Irtysh Omsk.
  • Win probability leans Mashuk's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Irtysh Omsk Clean Sheet 16%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irtysh Omsk Mashuk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 7
Draws 8 16
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.72 1
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Irtysh Omsk vs Mashuk
0:2
Apr 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Irtysh Omsk
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Irtysh Omsk vs Mashuk
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Mashuk vs Irtysh Omsk
3:0
May 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Mashuk vs Irtysh Omsk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Irtysh Omsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Mashuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Selemenev I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fattakhov L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irtysh Omsk 23 / 100
Mashuk 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irtysh Omsk Mashuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mashuk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Irtysh Omsk scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Mashuk has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Irtysh Omsk has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Irtysh Omsk VS Mashuk
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Irtysh Omsk

(Home)
27 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
4 : 0
Dynamo Moscow 2
19 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg 2
13 Sept
Torpedo Miass
3 : 1
Irtysh Omsk
05 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
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Mashuk

(Away)
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
30 Aug
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 0
Mashuk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leningradets 18 10 4 4 23:23 34
2 Tekstilshtik 18 10 2 6 29:18 32
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 18 9 5 4 28:20 32
4 Veles Moscow 18 8 4 6 20:12 28
5 Mashuk 18 5 11 2 20:13 26
6 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 18 6 6 6 21:19 24
7 Kaluga 18 5 5 8 17:20 20
8 Rodina Moscow 2 18 4 7 7 20:23 19
9 Torpedo Miass 18 3 7 8 13:23 16
10 Irtysh Omsk 18 1 7 10 11:31 10
Promotion - FNL (Main)
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Fall Season)