Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iruna vs Pamplona

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iruna in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iruna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Iruna
35%
Draws
29%
Pamplona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pamplona lately — more wins on the board than Iruna.
  • Iruna are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Iruna Clean Sheet 13%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iruna Pamplona
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 16 20
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Iruna
2:1
Oct 28, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Pamplona
2:0
Feb 4, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Pamplona
3:2
Sep 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Iruna
1:3
Apr 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Iruna vs Pamplona
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iruna 57 / 100
Pamplona 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iruna Pamplona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iruna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iruna's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Pamplona conceded in 70% of 37 recent games.

Iruna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pamplona
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Iruna

(Home)
13 May
Valle Egues
3 : 2
Iruna
05 May
Iruna
4 : 0
CD Baztan
28 Apr
CD Gares
1 : 1
Iruna
21 Apr
Iruna
1 : 1
Burlades
15 Apr
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Iruna
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Pamplona

(Away)
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)