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Ischia vs Costa Amalfi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Cuomo E.
41' Event
Piszczek F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ischia
20%
Draws
40%
Costa Amalfi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ischia have won more games recently than Costa Amalfi.
  • Win probability leans Ischia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ischia Clean Sheet 18%
Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ischia Costa Amalfi
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.29 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Ischia vs Costa Amalfi
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Costa Amalfi vs Ischia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ischia Compare

Top Goalscorer Piszczek F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Costa Amalfi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuomo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ischia 67 / 100
Costa Amalfi 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ischia Costa Amalfi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ischia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Amalfi let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Ischia scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Costa Amalfi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ischia VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ischia

(Home)
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0
Ischia
13 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1
Ischia
Page 1 of 7

Costa Amalfi

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Costa Amalfi
1 : 4
Acerrana
17 Apr
Costa Amalfi
0 : 2
Gravina
12 Apr
Ischia
1 : 1
Costa Amalfi
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)