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Ischia vs Ebolitana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lonigro C.
39' Event
Forcini A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ischia
35%
Draws
52%
Ebolitana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ebolitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ischia have won more games recently than Ebolitana.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ischia Clean Sheet 20%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ischia Ebolitana
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.15 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Ischia vs Ebolitana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ischia Compare

Top Goalscorer Forcini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Ebolitana Compare

Top Goalscorer Lonigro C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ischia 36 / 100
Ebolitana 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ischia Ebolitana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebolitana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ischia scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Ebolitana has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ischia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ischia VS Ebolitana
0.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.14
38% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ischia

(Home)
04 Oct
Ischia
1 : 1
Ebolitana
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
Page 1 of 7

Ebolitana

(Away)
04 Oct
Ischia
1 : 1
Ebolitana
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0
Melfi
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)