Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Isernia vs Avezzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Allessi
18' Event
Coratella C.
23' Event
Ferrari F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 game between Isernia and Avezzano finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Isernia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Isernia
15%
Draws
51%
Avezzano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avezzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avezzano come out ahead of Isernia on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Avezzano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Isernia Clean Sheet 21%
Avezzano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isernia Avezzano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Avezzano
3:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Isernia
1:0
Apr 7, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Isernia
1:0
Dec 2, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Avezzano
2:1
Apr 17, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Avezzano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Isernia Compare

Top Goalscorer Coratella C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Conti G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Avezzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Allessi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isernia 20 / 100
Avezzano 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isernia Avezzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avezzano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Avezzano conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Isernia scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Isernia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Isernia VS Avezzano
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Isernia

(Home)
04 May
Fossombrone
1 : 0
Isernia
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Isernia
1 : 2
Aquila Calcio
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Isernia
Page 1 of 6

Avezzano

(Away)
04 May
Avezzano
4 : 0
Ancona
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Avezzano
4 : 0
Castelfidardo
13 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 1
Fossombrone
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)