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Iskenderunspor vs Payasspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2020/2021
Wed, Oct 14, 2020
2 - 3
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iskenderunspor play Payasspor in the Turkish Cup 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iskenderunspor averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Payasspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Iskenderunspor won 0, Payasspor won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 14, 2020 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Iskenderunspor and 1.38 for Payasspor. This points to a Iskenderunspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Iskenderunspor
23%
Draws
30%
Payasspor
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Iskenderunspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Iskenderunspor picked up more points recently compared to Payasspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Iskenderunspor Clean Sheet 17%
Payasspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskenderunspor Payasspor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.42 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2020 Turkish Cup
Iskenderunspor vs Payasspor
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iskenderunspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamac Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Payasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yenilmez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskenderunspor 46 / 100
Payasspor 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskenderunspor Payasspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iskenderunspor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iskenderunspor attacking → ← attacking Payasspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskenderunspor scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Payasspor let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Iskenderunspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Payasspor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 25
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00