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Iskra Ribnita vs Sparta Selemet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iskra Ribnita host Sparta Selemet in the Liga 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Iskra Ribnita have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Sparta Selemet's 1.27 scored and 2.7 conceded. Past meetings favor Iskra Ribnita slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 3.81 vs 1.19, favoring Iskra Ribnita. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Iskra Ribnita
15%
Draws
26%
Sparta Selemet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iskra Ribnita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sparta Selemet haven't matched Iskra Ribnita's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Iskra Ribnita taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 20%
Sparta Selemet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Ribnita Sparta Selemet
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.86 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 3.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga 1
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
1:0
Aug 21, 2026 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs Sparta Selemet
10:0
May 9, 2026 Super Liga
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
0:2
Apr 10, 2026 Super Liga
Iskra Ribnita vs Sparta Selemet
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Sparta Selemet vs Iskra Ribnita
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Ribnita 76 / 100
Sparta Selemet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Ribnita Sparta Selemet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iskra Ribnita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Selemet let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Iskra Ribnita found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Iskra Ribnita went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Ribnita VS Sparta Selemet
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Iskra Ribnita

(Home)
16 Oct
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 2
FCM Ungheni
10 Oct
Sparta Selemet
1 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau 2
11 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
2 : 1
Iskra Ribnita
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0
Univer Comrat
Page 1 of 6

Sparta Selemet

(Away)
16 Oct
Univer Comrat
5 : 4
Sparta Selemet
10 Oct
Sparta Selemet
1 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
19 Sept
Sparta Selemet
1 : 2
Vulturii Cutezatori
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
04 Sept
Sparta Selemet
3 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 10 7 1 2 29:15 22
2 Iskra Ribnita 10 6 1 3 24:11 19
3 FCM Ungheni 10 4 3 3 26:20 15
4 Zimbru Chisinau 2 10 4 1 5 17:21 13
5 Univer Comrat 10 3 3 4 22:23 12
6 Sparta Selemet 10 1 1 8 15:43 4
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Stauceni 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
3 Falesti 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
4 National Ialoveni 8 3 1 4 8:10 10
5 Victoria 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)