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Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Isla de La Juventud in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Isla de La Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Isla de La Juventud
15%
Draws
21%
Matanzas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Isla de La Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Isla de La Juventud haven't matched Matanzas's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Isla de La Juventud taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 20%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isla de La Juventud Matanzas
Matches Played 23 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.87 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas
0:0
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas
4:1
Apr 2, 2022 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs Isla de La Juventud
0:0
Feb 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isla de La Juventud 76 / 100
Matanzas 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isla de La Juventud Matanzas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Isla de La Juventud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matanzas let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Isla de La Juventud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Matanzas's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Isla de La Juventud VS Matanzas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Isla de La Juventud

(Home)
21 Jun
FC La Habana
3 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
18 Jun
Artemisa
0 : 3
Isla de La Juventud
17 May
Isla de La Juventud
3 : 0
FC La Habana
09 May
Isla de La Juventud
0 : 3
Artemisa
03 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
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Matanzas

(Away)
14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0
Matanzas
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0
Matanzas
17 May
Matanzas
1 : 0
FC Villa Clara
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 7 6 1 0 14:2 19
2 FC La Habana 7 5 2 0 11:2 17
3 Matanzas 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Artemisa 7 3 1 3 15:8 10
5 FC Villa Clara 7 2 1 4 6:11 7
6 Isla de La Juventud 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
7 Pinar del Rio 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
8 Mayabeque Guines 7 1 0 6 4:16 3
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santiago de Cuba 7 4 2 1 14:5 14
2 FC Guantanamo 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
3 FC Holguin 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
4 FC Camaguey 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 CF Granma 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 FC Sancti Spiritus 7 2 1 4 2:6 7
7 FC Ciego de Avila 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
8 Las Tunas 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)