Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Isla de La Juventud in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Isla de La Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Isla de La Juventud
11%
Draws
9%
Matanzas
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Isla de La Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Isla de La Juventud haven't matched Matanzas's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Isla de La Juventud taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 20%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isla de La Juventud Matanzas
Matches Played 23 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas
0:0
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas
4:1
Apr 2, 2022 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs Isla de La Juventud
0:0
Feb 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Matanzas
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isla de La Juventud 76 / 100
Matanzas 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isla de La Juventud Matanzas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matanzas let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Isla de La Juventud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Matanzas's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Isla de La Juventud VS Matanzas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122