Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Islandmagee vs Killyleagh Youth

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Islandmagee in this Irish Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 5-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Islandmagee
15%
Draws
64%
Killyleagh Youth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Killyleagh Youth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Killyleagh Youth haven't matched Islandmagee's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Killyleagh Youth a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Islandmagee have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Islandmagee, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Islandmagee Clean Sheet 10%
Killyleagh Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Islandmagee Killyleagh Youth
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 18 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.66 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.24 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2016 Irish Cup
Islandmagee vs Killyleagh Youth
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Islandmagee 10 / 100
Killyleagh Youth 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Islandmagee Killyleagh Youth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Killyleagh Youth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Islandmagee found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Killyleagh Youth let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Islandmagee has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Islandmagee VS Killyleagh Youth
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Islandmagee

(Home)
30 Nov
Islandmagee
0 : 4
Ballymacash
08 Jan
Cliftonville
5 : 0
Islandmagee
27 Jul
Islandmagee
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
30 Nov
East Belfast
7 : 1
Islandmagee
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
Page 1 of 6

Killyleagh Youth

(Away)
07 Jul
Killyleagh Youth
3 : 2
Portadown
02 Nov
Hanover
3 : 2
Killyleagh Youth
28 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
1 : 0
Downshire Y.M.
17 Aug
Rosario Youth
0 : 1
Killyleagh Youth
29 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
2 : 3
Crumlin Star
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
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Nortel -
St. Marys -
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Donegal 1
Oxford Stars 3
Glebe 4
Iveagh Utd 0
Portaferry Rovers 2
Silverwood 3
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Moyola 3
Craigavon City 1
Grove 6
Sport & Leisure 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Markethill 4
St. Patricks Young 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Laurelvale 1
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Ards Rangers -
Abbey Villa 5
Holywood 0
Saintfield 0
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings -
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Dollingstown -
Crewe 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Ardglass -
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 0
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Ballymoney -
Sofia Farmer 2
Lower Maze 1
Banbridge 0
Limavady 2
Donard -
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Tullyvallen Rangers 0
Windmill 5
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Rosario Youth 0
Dromore Amateurs 0
Queens University 14
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Foundry 1
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers -
Comber Rec 4
Brantwood 3
Ballywalter Recreation 1
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC -
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St Luke's -
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Linfield -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts -
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Wellington Rec 0
Dunloy 3
Strabane Athletic -
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Dundonald 2
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst -
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Larne Technical Old Boys -
Desertmartin 2
Newcastle 0
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Tobermore -
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown -
Killymoon -
Hanover 2
Sirocco 3
Newry City 7
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
Rathfern Rangers 0
Dungannon Rovers 0
U. U. Jordanstown 4
Barn -
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Dundela -
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Loughgall -
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Drumaness -
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Bloomfield 3
Seapatrick 4
Camlough -
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Dromara -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Bangor Amateurs FC -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Immaculata 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart -
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Magherafelt 1
Moneyslane FC 6
Islandmagee 4
Ballymacash 1
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Killyleagh Youth -
Valley Rangers 3
Newtowne FC 1
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Seagoe -
Coagh Utd 2
Malachians 1
Banbridge Rangers 4
Derriaghy 5
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Glenavon -
1/128-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
Nortel -
St. Marys 4
Oxford Stars 5
Glebe 3
Silverwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Grove 5
Sport & Leisure 2
St. Patricks Young 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 4
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings 2
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 5
Ardglass 1
Crumlin United 2
Ballymoney 3
Sofia Farmer 2
Limavady 0
Donard -
Windmill -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Queens University 0
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Lisburn Rangers 4
Comber Rec 5
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC 1
St Luke's 4
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PSNI -
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Ballyclare -
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Linfield -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts 8
Dunloy 0
Strabane Athletic 4
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Desertmartin 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Sirocco 1
Newry City 1
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Barn 1
Dundela 2
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness 2
Seapatrick 0
Camlough 0
Dromara 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Ballynahinch United 1
Crumlin Star 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 2
Moneyslane FC 0
Islandmagee 5
Killyleagh Youth 3
Valley Rangers 7
Seagoe 0
Coagh Utd 1
Derriaghy 2
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Glenavon -
1/64-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill 1
Oxford Stars 0
Glebe 0
Grove 1
Sport & Leisure 3
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 2
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 3
Ballymoney 1
Sofia Farmer 0
Windmill 2
TBD -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Comber Rec 2
St Luke's 3
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts 2
East Belfast 0
Wakehurst 1
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 5
Newington FC 4
Downshire Y.M. 2
Dundela 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Dromara 1
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 5
Killyleagh Youth 0
Valley Rangers 0
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/32-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 6
Grove 2
Sport & Leisure 1
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 4
Windmill 3
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
Shorts 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Dundela 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart 4
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/16-finals
Dungannon 3
Dergview 0
Richhill 1
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballinamallard 0
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 2
Ards 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
PSNI 2
Institute 4
Ballyclare 2
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Coleraine 5
Carrick Rangers 1
Annagh 0
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Larne 1
Fivemiletown 0
Loughgall 3
Armagh 2
Trojans 1
Portstewart 1
Glenavon 4
1/8-finals
Dungannon 4
Dollingstown 1
Crewe 0
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
PSNI 0
Institute 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 1
Armagh 0
Glenavon 2
Quarter-finals
Dungannon 2
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymena 0
Portadown 0
Glenavon 5
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 1
Final
Linfield 3
Coleraine 0