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Isloch Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga SOK Olympijskij, Minsk
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Khvashchinskiy V.
Assist: Yudchits E.
23'
Sazonchik S.
45'
Badoev K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Isloch Minsk
35%
Draws
18%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Isloch Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Isloch Minsk lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
  • Isloch Minsk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Isloch Minsk Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isloch Minsk Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Isloch Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:1
May 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Isloch Minsk
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Isloch Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
4:0
Oct 17, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Isloch Minsk
0:1
May 23, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Isloch Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Isloch Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Khvashchinskiy V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasin I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isloch Minsk 85 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isloch Minsk Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Isloch Minsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Isloch Minsk found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Isloch Minsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Isloch Minsk VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Isloch Minsk

(Home)
19 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 2
Neman
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
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Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4
Zhodino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)