Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ismaning vs Geretsried

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ismaning
39%
Draws
31%
Geretsried
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ismaning have won more games recently than Geretsried.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Ismaning Clean Sheet 10%
Geretsried Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ismaning Geretsried
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ismaning vs Geretsried
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Geretsried vs Ismaning
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ismaning 29 / 100
Geretsried 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ismaning Geretsried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ISM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ismaning scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Geretsried conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ismaning has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ismaning VS Geretsried
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ismaning

(Home)
16 May
Munich 1860 II
5 : 1
Ismaning
09 May
Ismaning
4 : 1
Kottern-St. Mang
02 May
Ismaning
3 : 1
Nordlingen
25 Apr
FC Sturm Hauzenberg
1 : 2
Ismaning
18 Apr
Ismaning
0 : 3
Landsberg
Page 1 of 6

Geretsried

(Away)
17 Jul
Munich 1860 II
5 : 1
Geretsried
16 May
Geretsried
4 : 1
Nordlingen
08 May
FC Sturm Hauzenberg
1 : 4
Geretsried
01 May
Geretsried
1 : 2
Landsberg
25 Apr
Kirchanschoring
1 : 1
Geretsried
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Munich 1860 II32215674:2668
2Landsberg321811379:4365
3Kirchanschoring321610667:3558
4Gundelfingen32167951:3355
5SV Erlbach321651142:3553
6Pipinsried321571058:3752
7Heimstetten32149964:4651
8Deisenhofen321310944:4749
9FC Schwaig321291148:4445
10Geretsried321281249:4644
11Nordlingen3211111058:5844
12Ismaning321191250:5842
13Schalding329111243:5038
14Kottern-St. Mang32961740:5733
15FC Sturm Hauzenberg32652124:6423
16Turkspor Augsburg32452328:8317
17Turkgucu Munchen32342521:7813
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)