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Ispartaspor vs Bucak Belediyesi

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ispartaspor play Bucak Belediyesi in the Turkish Cup 2013/2014. Bucak Belediyesi are favorites here. Recently, Ispartaspor averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. Bucak Belediyesi averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Ispartaspor won 0, Bucak Belediyesi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 11, 2013 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.65 for Ispartaspor and 2.88 for Bucak Belediyesi. This points to a Bucak Belediyesi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ispartaspor
15%
Draws
65%
Bucak Belediyesi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bucak Belediyesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ispartaspor picked up more points recently compared to Bucak Belediyesi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.65 vs 2.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Ispartaspor Clean Sheet 10%
Bucak Belediyesi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ispartaspor Bucak Belediyesi
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 4 6
Draws 4 0
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2013 Turkish Cup
Ispartaspor vs Bucak Belediyesi
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ispartaspor 20 / 100
Bucak Belediyesi 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ispartaspor Bucak Belediyesi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bucak Belediyesi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bucak Belediyesi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ispartaspor attacking → ← attacking Bucak Belediyesi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ispartaspor scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Bucak Belediyesi let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ispartaspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bucak Belediyesi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 18
1.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13