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Ispe vs Thitsar Arman

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Thiha Dipa, Thanlyin
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Naing S.
59' Event
Aung M. S.
75' Event
Zaw Saw Myo

AI Match Summary

Ispe in this National League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ispe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ispe
30%
Draws
35%
Thitsar Arman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ispe have won more games recently than Thitsar Arman.
  • Thitsar Arman are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ispe Thitsar Arman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 13
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Ispe
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Thitsar Arman
3:2
Feb 20, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Thitsar Arman
0:5
Sep 14, 2024 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Ispe
1:4
May 3, 2024 MNL League Cup
Thitsar Arman vs Ispe
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Naing S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung M. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw Saw Myo
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ispe 10 / 100
Thitsar Arman 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ispe Thitsar Arman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thitsar Arman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Ispe scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Thitsar Arman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Ispe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ispe VS Thitsar Arman
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ispe

(Home)
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
25 Feb
Ispe
1 : 6
Shan United
15 Feb
Yarmanya United
1 : 2
Ispe
Page 1 of 6

Thitsar Arman

(Away)
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
26 Feb
Thitsar Arman
0 : 0
Ayeyawady
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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