Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen

Israel

2 - 1

Estonia

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Paskotsi M.

23'

Hein K.

Assist: Biton D.

Own Goal

36'

Peetson R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Israel in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Israel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Israel

20%

Draws

48%

Estonia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Estonia haven't matched Israel's recent run of results.
48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Israel have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Israel Clean Sheet 15%

Estonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Israel	Estonia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	8
Draws	5	4
Losses	13	18
Goals Scored	1.43	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.73	1.9
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 World Championship

Estonia vs Israel

1:3

Mar 22, 2025 World Championship

Israel vs Estonia

2:1

Mar 28, 2007 Euro

Israel vs Estonia

4:0

Sep 2, 2006 Euro

Estonia vs Israel

0:1

Jan 18, 1999 Friendly International

Israel vs Estonia

7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Israel Compare

Top Goalscorer Dasa E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Estonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Paskotsi M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Israel 31 / 100

Estonia 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Israel Estonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Israel scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Israel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Israel VS Estonia

1.88 Goals Scored 1.13

2 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Israel

(Home)

03 Jun

Albania

0 : 1

Israel

26 Mar

Georgia

2 : 2

Israel

16 Nov

Israel

4 : 1

Moldova

13 Nov

Lithuania

0 : 0

Israel

14 Oct

Italy

3 : 0

Israel

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Estonia

(Away)

09 Jun

Estonia

1 : 0

Lithuania

06 Jun

Estonia

1 : 0

Faroe Islands

30 Mar

Rwanda

2 : 0

Estonia

27 Mar

Kenya

1 : 2

Estonia

18 Nov

Cyprus

2 : 4

Estonia

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