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Israel W vs Estonia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Gyirmóti Stadion, Győr
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Selimhodzic N.
Assist: Avital E.
44'
Volkov J.
46'
Sub
Selimhodzic N. In: Elinav S.
Out: Selimhodzic N.

AI Match Summary

Israel W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Israel W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Israel W
15%
Draws
53%
Estonia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estonia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Estonia W haven't matched Israel W's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Estonia W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Israel W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Israel W Clean Sheet 13%
Estonia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Israel W Estonia W
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.96 0.97
Goals Conceded 2 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Estonia W vs Israel W
0:3
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Israel W vs Estonia W
3:1
Dec 5, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Israel W vs Estonia W
4:1
Sep 26, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Estonia W vs Israel W
0:5
Jul 17, 2023 Friendly International Women
Estonia W vs Israel W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Israel W Compare

Top Goalscorer Selimhodzic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beard E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Estonia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirpu K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Israel W 11 / 100
Estonia W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Israel W Estonia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Israel W scored in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Estonia W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Israel W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Israel W VS Estonia W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Israel W

(Home)
09 Jun
Israel W
1 : 5
Scotland W
05 Jun
Scotland W
6 : 0
Israel W
18 Apr
Luxembourg W
1 : 3
Israel W
14 Apr
Israel W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
07 Mar
Belgium W
5 : 0
Israel W
Page 1 of 6

Estonia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Estonia W
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
05 Jun
Liechtenstein W
0 : 5
Estonia W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Liechtenstein W
10 Apr
Czech Republic U23 W
4 : 0
Estonia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia W 6 6 0 0 27:1 18
2 Faroe Islands W 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Moldova W 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 0:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta W 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Cyprus W 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Georgia W 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
4 Andorra W 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luxembourg W 6 5 1 0 20:6 16
2 Kazakhstan W 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Armenia W 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 1 5 5:26 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Azerbaijan W 4 1 2 1 3:6 5
3 Lithuania W 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Israel W 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Estonia W 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
3 Bulgaria W 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Latvia W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Kosovo W 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 North Macedonia W 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams