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Stadium Background

Istanbulspor AS vs Erokspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kanga G.
Assist: Okyar M.
58'
Ozer Y.
59'
Sub
Duymaz O. In: Cham A.
Out: Duymaz O.

AI Match Summary

Erokspor in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erokspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Istanbulspor AS
20%
Draws
50%
Erokspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erokspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Istanbulspor AS haven't matched Erokspor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Istanbulspor AS a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 16%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istanbulspor AS Erokspor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Erokspor
0:1
Feb 17, 2026 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Erokspor
1:4
Sep 24, 2025 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Istanbulspor AS
5:0
May 4, 2025 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Istanbulspor AS
0:3
Jan 5, 2025 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Erokspor
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Erokspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanga G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istanbulspor AS 36 / 100
Erokspor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istanbulspor AS Erokspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Erokspor has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Istanbulspor AS scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Istanbulspor AS has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Istanbulspor AS VS Erokspor
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Istanbulspor AS

(Home)
10 Oct
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 1
Erokspor
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 2
Igdir FK
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
Page 1 of 6

Erokspor

(Away)
10 Oct
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 1
Erokspor
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
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