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Istanbulspor AS vs F. Karagumruk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Cham A.
Assist: Nizam B.
13' Event
Akbaba E.
Assist: Pesic A.
32'
Biraschi D.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig game between Istanbulspor AS and F. Karagumruk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Istanbulspor AS
20%
Draws
50%
F. Karagumruk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: F. Karagumruk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and F. Karagumruk come out ahead of Istanbulspor AS on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans F. Karagumruk's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 10%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istanbulspor AS F. Karagumruk
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs F. Karagumruk
1:1
Dec 17, 2025 Turkish Cup
F. Karagumruk vs Istanbulspor AS
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs F. Karagumruk
2:0
Sep 30, 2024 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Istanbulspor AS
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Super Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs F. Karagumruk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Top Goalscorer Cham A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

F. Karagumruk Compare

Top Goalscorer Akbaba E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istanbulspor AS 10 / 100
F. Karagumruk 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istanbulspor AS F. Karagumruk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick F. Karagumruk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

F. Karagumruk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Istanbulspor AS scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Istanbulspor AS went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Istanbulspor AS VS F. Karagumruk
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Istanbulspor AS

(Home)
10 Oct
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 1
Erokspor
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 2
Igdir FK
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
Page 1 of 6

F. Karagumruk

(Away)
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1
F. Karagumruk
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3
F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
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