Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu

Hatayspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Istanbulspor AS play Hatayspor in the 1. Lig. Istanbulspor AS are favorites here. Recently, Istanbulspor AS averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Hatayspor averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. In past meetings, Istanbulspor AS won 4, Hatayspor won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 30, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Istanbulspor AS and 1.25 for Hatayspor. This points to a Istanbulspor AS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%

Istanbulspor AS

21%

Draws

12%

Hatayspor

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Istanbulspor AS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Istanbulspor AS picked up more points recently compared to Hatayspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 19%

Hatayspor Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Istanbulspor AS	Hatayspor
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	2
Draws	8	5
Losses	11	23
Goals Scored	1.71	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.52	2.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 1. Lig

Istanbulspor AS vs Hatayspor

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Aug 30, 2025 1. Lig

Hatayspor vs Istanbulspor AS

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Apr 14, 2024 Super Lig

Hatayspor vs Istanbulspor AS

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Nov 25, 2023 Super Lig

Istanbulspor AS vs Hatayspor

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

May 7, 2023 Super Lig

Hatayspor vs Istanbulspor AS

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istanbulspor AS 64 / 100

Hatayspor 13 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Istanbulspor AS Hatayspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istanbulspor AS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Istanbulspor AS & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.2%

1.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Istanbulspor AS attacking → ← attacking Hatayspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istanbulspor AS scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Hatayspor let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Istanbulspor AS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hatayspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 11

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54