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Istanbulspor AS vs Trabzonspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Krstovski M.
Assist: Bahadir Y.
41' Event
Muci E.
Assist: Tufan O.
46'
Sub
Erdal I. A. In: Ozer Y.
Out: Erdal I. A.

AI Match Summary

The Turkish Cup game between Istanbulspor AS and Trabzonspor finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trabzonspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Istanbulspor AS
6%
Draws
4%
Trabzonspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Istanbulspor AS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Trabzonspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Istanbulspor AS taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Trabzonspor have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 20%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istanbulspor AS Trabzonspor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Turkish Cup
Istanbulspor AS vs Trabzonspor
1:6
May 12, 2024 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Istanbulspor AS
3:0
Dec 19, 2023 Super Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Trabzonspor
0:3
Jan 22, 2023 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Istanbulspor AS
4:0
Aug 5, 2022 Super Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Trabzonspor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Top Goalscorer Krstovski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Trabzonspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Muci E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sikan D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istanbulspor AS 85 / 100
Trabzonspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istanbulspor AS Trabzonspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Istanbulspor AS scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Trabzonspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Istanbulspor AS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Istanbulspor AS VS Trabzonspor
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133