Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Istaravshan vs Hulbuk

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kiemiddinov M.
70' Event
Safarov J.
72' Event
Saidov S.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga 2025 game between Istaravshan and Hulbuk finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Istaravshan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Istaravshan
30%
Draws
47%
Hulbuk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hulbuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Istaravshan come out ahead of Hulbuk on wins alone.
  • Model gives Istaravshan a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 18%
Hulbuk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istaravshan Hulbuk
Matches Played 31 24
Wins 3 2
Draws 10 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.87 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Hulbuk
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Hulbuk vs Istaravshan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istaravshan Compare

Top Goalscorer Safarov J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saidov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hulbuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiemiddinov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istaravshan 36 / 100
Hulbuk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istaravshan Hulbuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istaravshan's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Hulbuk has conceded goals in 79% of their last 24 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Hulbuk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Istaravshan VS Hulbuk
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Istaravshan

(Home)
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 7

Hulbuk

(Away)
10 Dec
Sardor Tursunzoda
2 : 0
Hulbuk
07 Dec
Hulbuk
2 : 2
Sardor Tursunzoda
04 Dec
Hulbuk
1 : 5
Istiqlol Dushanbe
10 Nov
Hulbuk
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
02 Nov
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Hulbuk
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 22 15 5 2 58:18 50
2 Vakhsh 22 12 9 1 33:18 45
3 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 10 7 5 38:23 37
4 Ravshan Kulob 22 8 11 3 26:20 35
5 Khujand 22 9 4 9 24:25 31
6 Regar-TadAZ 22 8 6 8 25:24 30
7 Eskhata 22 7 9 6 31:30 30
8 Barkchi Hisor 22 6 9 7 22:20 27
9 Khosilot Parkhar 22 6 6 10 27:38 24
10 Istaravshan 22 4 7 11 23:42 19
11 Hulbuk 22 2 7 13 15:39 13
12 Panjsher 22 2 6 14 16:41 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)