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Istaravshan vs Ravshan Kulob - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istaravshan host Ravshan Kulob in the Vysshaya Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Istaravshan at 0.79 goals for, 2 against; Ravshan Kulob at 1.28 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Istaravshan have won 0 to Ravshan Kulob's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.81, favoring Ravshan Kulob. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Istaravshan
30%
Draws
58%
Ravshan Kulob
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ravshan Kulob

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ravshan Kulob have won more games recently than Istaravshan.
  • Ravshan Kulob are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ravshan Kulob have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 11%
Ravshan Kulob Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istaravshan Ravshan Kulob
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 1 9
Draws 10 12
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.79 1.28
Goals Conceded 2 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs Istaravshan
4:1
Jun 14, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Ravshan Kulob
1:3
Mar 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs Istaravshan
1:1
Nov 15, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Ravshan Kulob
1:3
May 5, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs Istaravshan
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istaravshan 14 / 100
Ravshan Kulob 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istaravshan Ravshan Kulob

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravshan Kulob Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Istaravshan scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Ravshan Kulob conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Istaravshan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Istaravshan VS Ravshan Kulob
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Istaravshan

(Home)
10 Oct
Istaravshan
0 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
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Ravshan Kulob

(Away)
11 Oct
Ravshan Kulob
1 : 1
Khosilot Parkhar
14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3
Ravshan Kulob
08 Sept
Ravshan Kulob
2 : 3
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Regar-TadAZ 18 12 4 2 25:9 40
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 18 10 5 3 35:18 35
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 17 8 3 6 19:20 27
5 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
6 Barkchi Hisor 17 7 3 7 24:25 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 18 6 5 7 24:20 23
8 Vakhsh 18 5 8 5 27:25 23
9 Eskhata 18 5 5 8 23:33 20
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 19 4 3 12 16:36 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 17 2 6 9 24:32 12
12 Istaravshan 18 0 6 12 15:36 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)