Sport Picks
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
Tajikistan
Vysshaya Liga 
AI Match Summary
Istiqlol Dushanbe in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istiqlol Dushanbe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Istiqlol Dushanbe lately — more wins on the board than Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov.
- Win probability leans Istiqlol Dushanbe's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Istiqlol Dushanbe here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Istiqlol Dushanbe | Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Istiqlol Dushanbe's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 38 recent games.
Istiqlol Dushanbe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol Dushanbe | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 14:3 | 25 |
| 2 | Khosilot Parkhar | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23:11 | 24 |
| 3 | Regar-TadAZ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 24 |
| 4 | CSKA Pomir Dushanbe | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 19 |
| 5 | Ravshan Kulob | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Barkchi Hisor | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:19 | 16 |
| 7 | Khujand | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Eskhata | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:23 | 14 |
| 9 | Vakhsh | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 10 | Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 11 | Sardor Tursunzoda | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:21 | 6 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9:17 | 5 |