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Stadium Background

Istra 1961 vs Neretva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Istra 1961 have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Neretva's 1.43 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Istra 1961 have won 1 to Neretva's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 3.31) point toward Istra 1961. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Istra 1961
15%
Draws
42%
Neretva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Istra 1961

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neretva lately — more wins on the board than Istra 1961.
  • Model gives Istra 1961 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Neretva arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 10%
Neretva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istra 1961 Neretva
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 Croatian Cup
Neretva vs Istra 1961
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istra 1961 34 / 100
Neretva 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istra 1961 Neretva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istra 1961 scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Neretva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Istra 1961 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Istra 1961 VS Neretva
2.38 Goals Scored 5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Istra 1961

(Home)
17 Oct
Lok. Zagreb
2 : 0
Istra 1961
10 Oct
Osijek
1 : 3
Istra 1961
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
Page 1 of 7

Neretva

(Away)
22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2
Otocac
16 Sept
Neretva
1 : 2
Istra 1961
27 Aug
Neretva
6 : 2
Zadrugar Oprisavci
31 Aug
Neretva
0 : 2
Grobnican
28 May
Neretva
1 : 0
Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bjelovar -
TBD -
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 1
Karlovac 4
Vrbovec 4
Daruvar 1
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 4
NK Radnicki Dalj 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
Bedem Ivankovo 3
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Oriolik -
Vardarac Vardaroc 3
Liznjan 1
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Orijent 3
Radnik Krizevci 1
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Dragovoljac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Kustosija 3
HNK Zadar 1
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Uskok Klis 3
Podravina Ludbreg 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
NK Svacic Stari Slatnik 2
NK Koprivnica 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Slatina 0
Segesta 18
TBD -
Osijek -
Zagora 4
Bratstvo Jurovec 2
TBD -
Varazdin -
Tomislav DA 4
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Granicar Kotoriba 1
Zagorec Krapina 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva 5
Otocac 2
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
Bjelovar 0
Karlovac 2
Vrbovec 0
Rijeka 6
Vukovar 1991 1
Cibalia 0
Bedem Ivankovo 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega 4
Oriolik 0
Vardarac Vardaroc 0
Hajduk Split 2
Orijent 2
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Dragovoljac 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Kustosija 1
Bijelo Brdo 2
Uskok Klis 1
HNK Gorica 3
NK Koprivnica 2
Rudes 3
Segesta 3
Osijek 1
Zagora 0
Varazdin 4
Tomislav DA 0
Lok. Zagreb 2
Zagorec Krapina 0
Istra 1961 5
Neretva -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Karlovac 1
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega -
Hajduk Split -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Slaven Belupo -
Bijelo Brdo -
HNK Gorica -
Rudes -
Segesta -
Varazdin -
Lok. Zagreb -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -