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Stadium Background

Istres vs Frejus Saint Raphael

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 Stade Parsemain
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kadir F.
50' Event
Mokhtari A.
60' Event
Mokhtari A.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Istres and Frejus Saint Raphael finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Istres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Istres
30%
Draws
34%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Istres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Istres come out ahead of Frejus Saint Raphael on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Istres taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Istres Clean Sheet 20%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istres Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Istres vs Frejus Saint Raphael
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Istres
3:4
Mar 8, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Istres vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Istres
3:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Istres vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istres Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokhtari A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kadir F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istres 36 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istres Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frejus Saint Raphael's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Istres's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Istres has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Istres VS Frejus Saint Raphael
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cannes30179453:3060
2Nimes30185746:2559
3St. Maur Lusitanos301510540:2455
4Rumilly Vallieres30138949:3647
5Hyeres301112736:2745
6Andrezieux30129948:3345
7Istres301110942:3243
8Creteil301271136:3443
9GOAL FC301181138:4640
10RC Grasse30991241:4236
11Frejus Saint Raphael30981337:5035
12Limonest30971436:4934
13FC Bobigny 93307111229:3132
14Toulon308101238:4731
15Saint Priest30791435:5030
16Rousset Ste Victoire30262228:7612