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Itabaiana vs America de Propria

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Gustavo Crecci
39'
Renato
53'
Dione

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano game between Itabaiana and America de Propria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabaiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Itabaiana
33%
Draws
27%
America de Propria
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Itabaiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Itabaiana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Itabaiana's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Sergipano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 68%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana America de Propria
Matches Played 40 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 14 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Sergipano
Itabaiana vs America de Propria
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Itabaiana
0:3
Mar 15, 2025 Sergipano
Itabaiana vs America de Propria
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Itabaiana
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Itabaiana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabaiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Igor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

America de Propria Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana 50 / 100
America de Propria 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana America de Propria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Itabaiana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: America de Propria has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sergipe-
TBD-
Lagarto0
America de Propria3
Itabaiana1
Falcon0
Confianca1
Guarany SE0
Semi-finals
Sergipe3
America de Propria2
Itabaiana2
Confianca3
Final
Sergipe2
Confianca1
Itabaiana1
America de Propria0