Sport Picks
Itabaiana vs Atletico Gloriense
Brazil
Sergipano Estadio Etelvino Mendonca, Itabaiana 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Sergipano game between Itabaiana and Atletico Gloriense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabaiana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Atletico Gloriense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Atletico Gloriense's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Sergipano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Itabaiana here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Itabaiana | Atletico Gloriense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.71 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Itabaiana Compare
Atletico Gloriense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Itabaiana's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Atletico Gloriense let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.
Itabaiana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Itabaiana
(Home)Atletico Gloriense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sergipe | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Itabaiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Confianca | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Guarany SE | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | America de Propria | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Falcon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Atletico Gloriense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Dorense | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 10 | Desportiva Aracaju | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |
