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Itabaiana vs Brusque

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Etelvino Mendonca, Itabaiana
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Renatinho
46'
Sub
Alvaro In: Marlyson
Out: Alvaro
54'
Tarcisio

AI Match Summary

Itabaiana in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabaiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Itabaiana
35%
Draws
56%
Brusque
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Itabaiana haven't matched Brusque's recent run of results.
  • Brusque are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 18%
Brusque Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana Brusque
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Serie C
Itabaiana vs Brusque
1:0
Aug 4, 2025 Serie C
Brusque vs Itabaiana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabaiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Renatinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Brusque Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana 20 / 100
Brusque 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana Brusque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusque Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Brusque conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Itabaiana's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Itabaiana has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana VS Brusque
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabaiana

(Home)
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0
Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 7

Brusque

(Away)
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)