Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itabaiana vs Brusque

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Etelvino Mendonca, Itabaiana
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Renatinho
46'
Sub
Alvaro In: Marlyson
Out: Alvaro
54'
Tarcisio

AI Match Summary

Itabaiana in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabaiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Itabaiana
15%
Draws
40%
Brusque
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itabaiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Itabaiana haven't matched Brusque's recent run of results.
  • Itabaiana are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 68%
Brusque Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana Brusque
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Serie C
Itabaiana vs Brusque
1:0
Aug 4, 2025 Serie C
Brusque vs Itabaiana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabaiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Renatinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Brusque Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana 50 / 100
Brusque 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana Brusque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Brusque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Itabaiana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana VS Brusque
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabaiana

(Home)
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2
Itabaiana
27 Jun
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
20 Jun
Anapolis
2 : 0
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

Brusque

(Away)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1
Figueirense
30 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Brusque
21 Jun
Brusque
2 : 1
Floresta EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 15 8 3 4 21:15 27
2 Guarani 15 7 5 3 28:15 26
3 Botafogo PB 15 8 1 6 21:16 25
4 Internacional de Limeira 15 7 4 4 18:17 25
5 Santa Cruz 15 7 3 5 15:11 24
6 Paysandu PA 15 7 2 6 23:21 23
7 Maringa FC 15 6 5 4 28:25 23
8 Ferroviaria 15 6 5 4 15:12 23
9 Ypiranga FC 15 6 3 6 18:19 21
10 SER Caxias do Sul 15 5 6 4 14:12 21
11 Floresta EC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
12 Amazonas 15 6 2 7 15:20 20
13 Figueirense 15 5 5 5 13:18 20
14 Ituano 15 5 4 6 16:17 19
15 Volta Redonda 15 5 3 7 11:19 18
16 Maranhao 15 4 6 5 11:14 18
17 Itabaiana 15 4 5 6 13:18 17
18 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 15 3 6 6 17:17 15
19 Anapolis 15 3 3 9 13:19 12
20 Confianca 15 3 3 9 9:15 12
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)