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Itabaiana vs Floresta EC

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Etelvino Mendonca, Itabaiana
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Joao Victor
38'
Gustavo Crecci
40'
Buga

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Itabaiana and Floresta EC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Itabaiana
20%
Draws
73%
Floresta EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Floresta EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Floresta EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Floresta EC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 24%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana Floresta EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Serie C
Itabaiana vs Floresta EC
0:0
May 31, 2025 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Itabaiana
1:0
Dec 12, 2020 Serie D
Itabaiana vs Floresta EC
2:2
Dec 5, 2020 Serie D
Floresta EC vs Itabaiana
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana 17 / 100
Floresta EC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana Floresta EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresta EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Floresta EC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Itabaiana stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana VS Floresta EC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabaiana

(Home)
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0
Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

Floresta EC

(Away)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1
Floresta EC
27 Jul
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)