Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itabirito U20 vs Nacional de Muriae U20

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Henrique V.
9' Event
Negueba G.
19' Event
Pedro J.

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro U20 game between Itabirito U20 and Nacional de Muriae U20 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Itabirito U20
20%
Draws
51%
Nacional de Muriae U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional de Muriae U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabirito U20 come out ahead of Nacional de Muriae U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Itabirito U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Itabirito U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Nacional de Muriae U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito U20 Nacional de Muriae U20
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.34 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Mineiro U20
Nacional de Muriae U20 vs Itabirito U20
2:0
Jun 12, 2026 Mineiro U20
Itabirito U20 vs Nacional de Muriae U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabirito U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nacional de Muriae U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Negueba G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taylan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito U20 35 / 100
Nacional de Muriae U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito U20 Nacional de Muriae U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito U20 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Nacional de Muriae U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Itabirito U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito U20 VS Nacional de Muriae U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Itabirito U20
2 : 2
America MG U20
12 Sept
Nacional de Muriae U20
2 : 0
Itabirito U20
28 Aug
Itabirito U20
0 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
21 Aug
Boston City U20
3 : 2
Itabirito U20
14 Aug
Itabirito U20
2 : 0
Atletico-MG U20
Page 1 of 6

Nacional de Muriae U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
12 Sept
Nacional de Muriae U20
2 : 0
Itabirito U20
29 Aug
Nacional de Muriae U20
1 : 4
America MG U20
23 Aug
Social U20
1 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
15 Aug
Nacional de Muriae U20
2 : 2
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG U20 10 8 0 2 35:7 24
2 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
3 Athletic Club U20 10 6 1 3 20:11 19
4 Nacional de Muriae U20 10 5 4 1 16:10 19
5 Itabirito U20 10 5 2 3 12:13 17
6 America MG U20 10 5 1 4 23:13 16
7 Betim FC U20 10 4 3 3 14:18 15
8 Coimbra Sports U20 10 4 2 4 7:7 14
9 Boston City U20 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
10 Social U20 10 3 3 4 15:17 12
11 Inter de Minas U20 10 3 3 4 10:15 12
12 Sao Joao del Rei U20 10 1 6 3 11:13 9
13 Villa Real U20 10 1 4 5 4:14 7
14 Minas Boca U20 10 1 3 6 8:26 6
15 Uberabinha U20 10 0 1 9 5:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
2 Itabirito U20 10 5 2 3 12:13 17
3 Coimbra Sports U20 10 4 2 4 7:7 14
4 Social U20 10 3 3 4 15:17 12
5 Sao Joao del Rei U20 10 1 6 3 11:13 9
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletic Club U20 10 6 1 3 20:11 19
2 America MG U20 10 5 1 4 23:13 16
3 Villa Real U20 10 1 4 5 4:14 7
4 Minas Boca U20 10 1 3 6 8:26 6
5 Uberabinha U20 10 0 1 9 5:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG U20 10 8 0 2 35:7 24
2 Nacional de Muriae U20 10 5 4 1 16:10 19
3 Betim FC U20 10 4 3 3 14:18 15
4 Boston City U20 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
5 Inter de Minas U20 10 3 3 4 10:15 12
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)