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Itabirito U20 vs Social U20

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
de Azevedo D.
90' Event
Henrique V.

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro U20 game between Itabirito U20 and Social U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabirito U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Itabirito U20
15%
Draws
0%
Social U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itabirito U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Itabirito U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Itabirito U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Itabirito U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Social U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito U20 Social U20
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Mineiro U20
Itabirito U20 vs Social U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabirito U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer de Azevedo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Social U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito U20 85 / 100
Social U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito U20 Social U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Social U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Itabirito U20 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Social U20 conceded in 79% of 19 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito U20 VS Social U20
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Itabirito U20
2 : 2
America MG U20
12 Sept
Nacional de Muriae U20
2 : 0
Itabirito U20
28 Aug
Itabirito U20
0 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
21 Aug
Boston City U20
3 : 2
Itabirito U20
14 Aug
Itabirito U20
2 : 0
Atletico-MG U20
Page 1 of 6

Social U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Coimbra Sports U20
7 : 0
Social U20
13 Sept
Social U20
2 : 5
Boston City U20
29 Aug
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
7 : 0
Social U20
23 Aug
Social U20
1 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
15 Aug
Athletic Club U20
2 : 0
Social U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 9 4 5 0 20:10 17
2 Coimbra Sports U20 9 5 1 3 19:10 16
3 Atletico-MG U20 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Athletic Club U20 9 5 1 3 10:7 16
5 America MG U20 9 4 3 2 16:9 15
6 Boston City U20 9 4 2 3 21:14 14
7 Nacional de Muriae U20 9 4 2 3 13:14 14
8 Itabirito U20 9 2 2 5 13:16 8
9 Betim FC U20 9 1 2 6 6:19 5
10 Social U20 9 1 1 7 5:29 4
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (5th-8th places)