Sport Picks

Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022

Coimbra Esporte Clube

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Itabirito play Coimbra Esporte Clube in the Mineiro 3 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Itabirito averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Coimbra Esporte Clube averaged 1.59 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Itabirito won 0, Coimbra Esporte Clube won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 29, 2022 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Itabirito and 1.81 for Coimbra Esporte Clube. This points to a Coimbra Esporte Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Itabirito

34%

Draws

44%

Coimbra Esporte Clube

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Coimbra Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Itabirito picked up more points recently compared to Coimbra Esporte Clube.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Itabirito Clean Sheet 11%

Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Itabirito	Coimbra Esporte Clube
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	5	18
Draws	10	13
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	0.93	1.59
Goals Conceded	1.67	0.87
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Mineiro 3

Itabirito vs Coimbra Esporte Clube

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Oct 21, 2022 Mineiro 3

Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Itabirito

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito 22 / 100

Coimbra Esporte Clube 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Itabirito Coimbra Esporte Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Coimbra Esporte Clube or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Itabirito attacking → ← attacking Coimbra Esporte Clube

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Coimbra Esporte Clube let in goals in 62% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Itabirito went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Coimbra Esporte Clube lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 67

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88