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Itabirito vs Santarritense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Itabirito and Santarritense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabirito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Itabirito
39%
Draws
30%
Santarritense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabirito come out ahead of Santarritense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Itabirito Clean Sheet 18%
Santarritense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito Santarritense
Matches Played 38 19
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2022 Mineiro 3
Itabirito vs Santarritense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito 32 / 100
Santarritense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito Santarritense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Santarritense conceded in 37% of 19 recent games.

Solid form: Itabirito remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito

(Home)
14 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 7
Atletico-MG
06 Feb
Betim FC
0 : 2
Itabirito
01 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 3
Tombense
24 Jan
URT
2 : 1
Itabirito
21 Jan
Uberlandia
0 : 1
Itabirito
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Santarritense

(Away)
29 Sept
Novo Esporte
4 : 0
Santarritense
25 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 1
Novo Esporte
17 Sept
Itabirito
2 : 0
Santarritense
10 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 0
Villa Real
03 Sept
Santarritense
5 : 2
Tres Coracoes
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Esporte Clube751112:516
2Valeriodoce751111:516
3America TO742111:614
4Novo Esporte741213:813
5Boston City723211:89
6Contagem72238:78
7Juventus Minasnovense71068:143
8Ideal FC70070:210
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabirito760112:118
2Villa Real74127:413
3Santarritense73318:412
4Tres Coracoes731312:1310
5Passos72325:59
6Figueirense Esporte Clube71426:107
7Betis71335:86
8Pocos de Caldas70162:121
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
6Serranense71338:106
7Paracatu71337:126
8Sao Gotardo70254:132
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)