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Itabirito vs Villa Real

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villa Real in this Mineiro 3 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Itabirito
17%
Draws
13%
Villa Real
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Itabirito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Villa Real have won more games recently than Itabirito.
  • Model gives Itabirito a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Villa Real have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Itabirito Clean Sheet 18%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito Villa Real
Matches Played 37 26
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Mineiro 3
Itabirito vs Villa Real
0:1
Oct 8, 2022 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Itabirito
0:1
Sep 4, 2022 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Itabirito
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito 67 / 100
Villa Real 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito Villa Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Villa Real let in goals in 50% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Itabirito went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tres Coracoes0
America TO5
TBD-
Valeriodoce-
Santarritense2
Novo Esporte5
TBD-
North Esporte Clube-
Nacional Uberaba0
Villa Real2
TBD-
Itabirito-
Mamore1
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
TBD-
Araxa-
Quarter-finals
America TO1
Valeriodoce1
Novo Esporte2
North Esporte Clube3
Villa Real1
Itabirito1
Coimbra Esporte Clube2
Araxa1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce0
North Esporte Clube1
Itabirito3
Coimbra Esporte Clube5
Final
North Esporte Clube1
Coimbra Esporte Clube1